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   "fc_margin": 11.375,
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   "fc_margin": 11.469,
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   "fc_margin": 9.062,
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   "err": 1,
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   "SE": 0.9003,
   "err": 0,
   "fc_margin": 11.125,
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   "SE": 0.3768,
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   "fc_margin": -9.906,
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  {
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  {
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  {
   "i": 795,
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  },
  {
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  },
  {
   "i": 797,
   "SE": 0.5623,
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  },
  {
   "i": 798,
   "SE": 0.5623,
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  },
  {
   "i": 799,
   "SE": 1.3209,
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  }
 ],
 "CONFIDENT_WRONG_SPLIT": {
  "_note": "NON-CIRCULAR (forced-choice |margin| = independent confidence axis, a DIFFERENT task from open-gen SE). confident-wrong = wrong & |fc_margin|>=median(wrong). Expect SE BLIND to confident-wrong (~0.5) and catch ignorance (>0.5).",
  "n_confident_wrong": 228,
  "n_ignorance": 226,
  "AUROC_SE_confidentwrong_vs_correct_EXPECT_0.5": 0.514,
  "CI95": [
   0.469,
   0.556
  ],
  "AUROC_SE_ignorance_vs_correct_EXPECT_high": 0.541,
  "ig_CI95": [
   0.494,
   0.588
  ]
 },
 "EXPLORATORY": true,
 "detector_reference": "commitment-detector 0.81 forced-choice / 0.68 open-gen",
 "VERDICT": "PROPER SE (NLI) aggregate AUROC=0.527 CI[0.489, 0.565]; confident-wrong-specific AUROC=0.514 CI[0.469, 0.556] (expect ~0.5=BLIND), ignorance AUROC=0.541 (expect >0.5). Report raw; confident-wrong-specific split may be underpowered at this n -- scale if it's the headline."
}